Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador

Ecuadorian Savings and Credit Cooperatives (COACs) are classified into five segments based on their asset level, with segment 1 having the highest level and segment 5 having the lowest. From 2014 to 2022, the share of COAC assets in the financial system increased from 18 % to 29 %. In 2022, there we...

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Tác giả chính: Andrade Condor, Alexander (author)
Tác giả khác: Guamaní, Jessica (author)
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Được phát hành: 2024
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author Andrade Condor, Alexander
author2 Guamaní, Jessica
author2_role author
author_facet Andrade Condor, Alexander
Guamaní, Jessica
author_role author
collection Revista Cuestiones Económicas
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Andrade Condor, Alexander
Guamaní, Jessica
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-06-28
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
text/html
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451/351
https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451/365
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv Derechos de autor 2024 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 34 Núm. 1 (2024): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autores: Jessica Guamaní P. y Felipe Alexander Andrade C.
2697-3367
2697-3367
reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicas
instname:Banco Central del Ecuador
instacron:BCE
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Survival
Logistic regression
Credit Union
Bankruptcy
Supervivencia
Regresión logística
Cooperativa de ahorro y crédito
Quiebra
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
Supervivencia y determinantes de la liquidación de las Cooperativas de Ahorro y Crédito en Ecuador
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artículos de Investigación
description Ecuadorian Savings and Credit Cooperatives (COACs) are classified into five segments based on their asset level, with segment 1 having the highest level and segment 5 having the lowest. From 2014 to 2022, the share of COAC assets in the financial system increased from 18 % to 29 %. In 2022, there were 461 active COACs and 96 liquidated (98 % in segments 3, 4, and 5). In this context, a study was conducted to examine the liquidation of COACs through survival analysis and logistic regressions. The study used data from 456 cooperatives observed over 25 quarters between 2016 and 2022. The survival models indicate a survival probability of over 90 % throughout the period in segments 3 and 4, while the survival probability in segment 5 is around 60 %. In addition, the logistic regressions suggest that administrative man­agement and coverage level are protective factors against liquidation, while the number of branches is associated with an increased risk factor.  
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oai_identifier_str oai:estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec:article/451
publishDate 2024
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
reponame_str Revista Cuestiones Económicas
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuador
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rights_invalid_str_mv Derechos de autor 2024 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
spelling Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in EcuadorSupervivencia y determinantes de la liquidación de las Cooperativas de Ahorro y Crédito en EcuadorAndrade Condor, AlexanderGuamaní, JessicaSurvivalLogistic regressionCredit UnionBankruptcySupervivenciaRegresión logísticaCooperativa de ahorro y créditoQuiebraEcuadorian Savings and Credit Cooperatives (COACs) are classified into five segments based on their asset level, with segment 1 having the highest level and segment 5 having the lowest. From 2014 to 2022, the share of COAC assets in the financial system increased from 18 % to 29 %. In 2022, there were 461 active COACs and 96 liquidated (98 % in segments 3, 4, and 5). In this context, a study was conducted to examine the liquidation of COACs through survival analysis and logistic regressions. The study used data from 456 cooperatives observed over 25 quarters between 2016 and 2022. The survival models indicate a survival probability of over 90 % throughout the period in segments 3 and 4, while the survival probability in segment 5 is around 60 %. In addition, the logistic regressions suggest that administrative man­agement and coverage level are protective factors against liquidation, while the number of branches is associated with an increased risk factor.  Las cooperativas de ahorro y crédito (COAC) de Ecuador están clasi­ficadas en cinco segmentos asociados con su nivel de activos, siendo 1 el segmento con mayor nivel y 5 con el menor. Entre 2014 y 2022, la participación de los activos de las COAC en el sistema financiero pasó del 18 % al 29 %. En el 2022, se contaba con 461 COAC activas y 96 liquidadas (98 % en los segmentos 3, 4 y 5). En este contexto, se planteó estudiar la liquidación de las COAC a través de análisis de superviven­cia y regresiones logísticas. Para ello, se contó con la información de 456 cooperativas observadas durante 25 trimestres en el periodo 2016 y 2022. Los modelos de supervivencia reflejan una probabilidad de supervivencia superior al 90 % en todo el periodo en los segmentos 3 y 4, mientras dicha probabilidad en el segmento 5 es de alrededor del 60 %. De manera complementaria, las regresiones logísticas sugieren que el manejo administrativo y el nivel de cobertura es un factor protec­tor de la liquidación, por el contrario, la cantidad de agencias se asocia con un factor de riesgo.Banco Central del Ecuador2024-06-28info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtículos de Investigaciónapplication/pdftext/htmlhttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 34 Núm. 1 (2024): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autores: Jessica Guamaní P. y Felipe Alexander Andrade C.2697-33672697-3367reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicasinstname:Banco Central del Ecuadorinstacron:BCEspahttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451/351https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451/365Derechos de autor 2024 Cuestiones Económicashttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-07-09T17:02:56Zoai:estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec:article/451Portal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2024-07-09T17:02:56falsePortal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2024-07-09T17:02:56Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuadorfalse
spellingShingle Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
Andrade Condor, Alexander
Survival
Logistic regression
Credit Union
Bankruptcy
Supervivencia
Regresión logística
Cooperativa de ahorro y crédito
Quiebra
status_str publishedVersion
title Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
title_full Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
title_fullStr Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
title_full_unstemmed Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
title_short Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
title_sort Survival and Determinants of Liquidation of Savings and Credit Cooperatives in Ecuador
topic Survival
Logistic regression
Credit Union
Bankruptcy
Supervivencia
Regresión logística
Cooperativa de ahorro y crédito
Quiebra
url https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/451