Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)

This article analyzes the relationship between public spending on current payroll, consumer goods and services, investment in non-financial assets (IANF), value-added and income taxes, as instruments of fiscal policy, on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the period 2012-2023q1. The time series approa...

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Egile nagusia: Salvador, Juan Carlos (author)
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Argitaratua: 2023
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author Salvador, Juan Carlos
author_facet Salvador, Juan Carlos
author_role author
collection Revista Cuestiones Económicas
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Salvador, Juan Carlos
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-12-15
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/448
10.47550/RCE/33.2.4
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/448/347
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv Derechos de autor 2023 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 33 Núm. 2 (2023): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autor: Juan Carlos Salvador
2697-3367
2697-3367
reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicas
instname:Banco Central del Ecuador
instacron:BCE
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv economic growth, fiscal multiplier, fiscal policy, SVAR
Economic growth
Fiscal multiplier
Crecimiento económico
Multiplicador fiscal
Política fiscal
SVAR
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
La política fiscal en Ecuador y la incidencia de los shocks exógenos en el crecimiento económico (2012-2023)
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artículos de Investigación
description This article analyzes the relationship between public spending on current payroll, consumer goods and services, investment in non-financial assets (IANF), value-added and income taxes, as instruments of fiscal policy, on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the period 2012-2023q1. The time series approach is used with the application of the SVAR Model following the proposals developed by Blanchard and Perotti (1999) and Perotti (2004) to calculate the fiscal multipliers expressed as Cumulative Impulse Response Function. The results provide evidence that expan­sionary fiscal shocks on the payroll have positive effects in the short term, however the fiscal multiplier is lower in relation to the IANF, while in the income tax it is higher in relation to the Value-added tax.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id REVCUESTEC_459e8bfc40a80c0c0aff3a548690fefd
identifier_str_mv 10.47550/RCE/33.2.4
instacron_str BCE
institution BCE
instname_str Banco Central del Ecuador
language spa
network_acronym_str REVCUESTEC
network_name_str Revista Cuestiones Económicas
oai_identifier_str oai:estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec:article/448
publishDate 2023
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
reponame_str Revista Cuestiones Económicas
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuador
repository_id_str
rights_invalid_str_mv Derechos de autor 2023 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
spelling Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)La política fiscal en Ecuador y la incidencia de los shocks exógenos en el crecimiento económico (2012-2023)Salvador, Juan Carloseconomic growth, fiscal multiplier, fiscal policy, SVAREconomic growthFiscal multiplierCrecimiento económicoMultiplicador fiscalPolítica fiscalSVARThis article analyzes the relationship between public spending on current payroll, consumer goods and services, investment in non-financial assets (IANF), value-added and income taxes, as instruments of fiscal policy, on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the period 2012-2023q1. The time series approach is used with the application of the SVAR Model following the proposals developed by Blanchard and Perotti (1999) and Perotti (2004) to calculate the fiscal multipliers expressed as Cumulative Impulse Response Function. The results provide evidence that expan­sionary fiscal shocks on the payroll have positive effects in the short term, however the fiscal multiplier is lower in relation to the IANF, while in the income tax it is higher in relation to the Value-added tax.Este artículo analiza la relación entre el gasto público de nómina corrien­te, bienes y servicios de consumo, inversión en activos no financieros (IANF), los impuestos al valor agregado y a la renta, como instru­mentos de política fiscal, sobre el producto interno bruto PIB para el periodo 2012-2023q1. Se emplea el enfoque de series de tiempo con la aplicación del modelo SVAR, siguiendo a las propuestas desarrolla­das por Blanchard y Perotti (1999) y Perotti (2004) para calcular los multiplicadores fiscales expresados como función impulso-respuesta acumulada. Los resultados brindan evidencia que shocks fiscales de carácter expansivo en la nómina tiene efectos positivos a corto plazo; sin embargo, el multiplicador fiscal es menor en relación a la IANF, mientras que en el impuesto a la renta es mayor en relación al impuesto al valor agregado.Banco Central del Ecuador2023-12-15info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtículos de Investigaciónapplication/pdfhttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/44810.47550/RCE/33.2.4Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 33 Núm. 2 (2023): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autor: Juan Carlos Salvador2697-33672697-3367reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicasinstname:Banco Central del Ecuadorinstacron:BCEspahttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/448/347Derechos de autor 2023 Cuestiones Económicashttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2025-09-03T17:30:51Zoai:estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec:article/448Portal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2025-09-03T17:30:51falsePortal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2025-09-03T17:30:51Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuadorfalse
spellingShingle Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
Salvador, Juan Carlos
economic growth, fiscal multiplier, fiscal policy, SVAR
Economic growth
Fiscal multiplier
Crecimiento económico
Multiplicador fiscal
Política fiscal
SVAR
status_str publishedVersion
title Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
title_full Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
title_fullStr Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
title_full_unstemmed Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
title_short Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
title_sort Ecuador’s fiscal policy and the impact of exogenus shocks on economic growth (2012-2023)
topic economic growth, fiscal multiplier, fiscal policy, SVAR
Economic growth
Fiscal multiplier
Crecimiento económico
Multiplicador fiscal
Política fiscal
SVAR
url https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/448