Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case

Labor productivity is a key indicator for assessing economic efficiency. However, in recent years, it has experienced a concerning global decline, with an annual contraction of 6,4 %. In Ecuador, labor productivity has shown a decreasing trend over the past decade. Therefore, this study examines cha...

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Huvudupphovsman: Conde, Marjorie (author)
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Publicerad: 2025
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author Conde, Marjorie
author_facet Conde, Marjorie
author_role author
collection Revista Cuestiones Económicas
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Conde, Marjorie
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06-30
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/508
10.47550/35.1.1
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/508/385
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv Derechos de autor 2025 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 35 Núm. 1 (2025): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autor: Marjorie Conde
2697-3367
2697-3367
reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicas
instname:Banco Central del Ecuador
instacron:BCE
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Regional Development
Economic Activity Spatial
Structural Change
Desarrollo regional
Actividad económica
Espacial
Cambio estructural
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
Productividad laboral: un análisis shift-share para el caso ecuatoriano
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artículos de Investigación
description Labor productivity is a key indicator for assessing economic efficiency. However, in recent years, it has experienced a concerning global decline, with an annual contraction of 6,4 %. In Ecuador, labor productivity has shown a decreasing trend over the past decade. Therefore, this study examines changes and spatial effects in provincial labor productivity levels in Ecuador from 2010 to 2022. Using panel data from the Central Bank of Ecuador and the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses, we applied traditional and spatial shift-share methods. These methods allow for the decomposition of productivity growth into national, structural, and regional effects. The findings revealed that the Ecuadorian economy remains vulnerable due to its reliance on primary activities, although a shift toward a more service-oriented model is evident. Provinces suchas Pichincha, Guayas, and Azuay serve as development hubs, positively influencing neighboring provinces through economic spillovers. Based on these results, the paper recommends strengthening specific strategies such as economic diversification, increased investment in research and development, and promoting trade links with countries and partners that can boost labor productivity.
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publishDate 2025
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Banco Central del Ecuador
reponame_str Revista Cuestiones Económicas
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuador
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rights_invalid_str_mv Derechos de autor 2025 Cuestiones Económicas
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
spelling Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian CaseProductividad laboral: un análisis shift-share para el caso ecuatorianoConde, Marjorie Regional DevelopmentEconomic Activity SpatialStructural ChangeDesarrollo regionalActividad económicaEspacialCambio estructuralLabor productivity is a key indicator for assessing economic efficiency. However, in recent years, it has experienced a concerning global decline, with an annual contraction of 6,4 %. In Ecuador, labor productivity has shown a decreasing trend over the past decade. Therefore, this study examines changes and spatial effects in provincial labor productivity levels in Ecuador from 2010 to 2022. Using panel data from the Central Bank of Ecuador and the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses, we applied traditional and spatial shift-share methods. These methods allow for the decomposition of productivity growth into national, structural, and regional effects. The findings revealed that the Ecuadorian economy remains vulnerable due to its reliance on primary activities, although a shift toward a more service-oriented model is evident. Provinces suchas Pichincha, Guayas, and Azuay serve as development hubs, positively influencing neighboring provinces through economic spillovers. Based on these results, the paper recommends strengthening specific strategies such as economic diversification, increased investment in research and development, and promoting trade links with countries and partners that can boost labor productivity.La productividad laboral es un indicador esencial para evaluar la eficiencia económica. Sin embargo, en los últimos años, ha experimentado una preocupante disminución a nivel global, con una contracción anual del 6,4 %, y en Ecuador ha mostrado una tendencia decreciente en la última década. Por ello, esta investigación estudia el cambio y los efectos espaciales en los niveles de productividad laboral provincial del Ecuador en el periodo 2010-2022. Utilizando datos de panel obtenidos del Banco Central del Ecuador y el Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas y Censos, se aplicó la técnica shift-share tradicional y espacial, que permite descomponer el crecimiento de la productividad en efectos nacionales, estructurales y regionales. Los resultados revelaron que la economía ecuatoriana es vulnerable debido a su dependencia en actividades primarias, aunque se observa una transición hacia un modelo más orientado a los servicios. Provincias como Pichincha, Guayas y Azuay actúan como polos de desarrollo, influenciando positivamente en sus vecinos a través de spillovers económicos. A partir de estos hallazgos, se recomienda fortalecer estrategias específicas, como la diversificación económica, inversión en investigación y desarrollo, y fomentar vínculos comerciales con países y socios comerciales que puedan impulsar la productividad laboral.Banco Central del Ecuador2025-06-30info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtículos de Investigaciónapplication/pdfhttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/50810.47550/35.1.1Cuestiones Económicas; Vol. 35 Núm. 1 (2025): Revista Cuestiones Económicas; Autor: Marjorie Conde2697-33672697-3367reponame:Revista Cuestiones Económicasinstname:Banco Central del Ecuadorinstacron:BCEspahttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/508/385Derechos de autor 2025 Cuestiones Económicashttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2025-09-24T16:46:35Zoai:estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec:article/508Portal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2025-09-24T16:46:35falsePortal de revistashttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCEOrganismo de gobiernowww.bce.fin.echttps://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/oaiEcuadoropendoar:2025-09-24T16:46:35Revista Cuestiones Económicas - Banco Central del Ecuadorfalse
spellingShingle Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
Conde, Marjorie
Regional Development
Economic Activity Spatial
Structural Change
Desarrollo regional
Actividad económica
Espacial
Cambio estructural
status_str publishedVersion
title Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
title_full Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
title_fullStr Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
title_full_unstemmed Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
title_short Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
title_sort Labor Productivity: A Shift- Share Analysis for the Ecuadorian Case
topic Regional Development
Economic Activity Spatial
Structural Change
Desarrollo regional
Actividad económica
Espacial
Cambio estructural
url https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/508