Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts

Introduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the rel...

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Auteur principal: Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador (author)
Autres auteurs: Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo (author), Sandoval Vargas, Hector (author)
Format: article
Langue:spa
Publié: 2025
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Accès en ligne:https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267
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author Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
author2 Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
author2_role author
author
author_facet Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
author_role author
collection Revista URVIO
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-01-22
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
text/html
text/html
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267
10.17141/urvio.41.2025.6267
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv FLACSO - Sede Ecuador
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5026
https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5016
https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5017
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; No. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65
URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; Núm. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65
1390-4299
1390-3691
10.17141/urvio.41.2025
reponame:Revista URVIO
instname:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales
instacron:FLACSO
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
Gobernanza criminal y capacidad estatal en México: apoyo ciudadano a los pactos político-delictivos
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Introduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the relevance of pacts between the government and criminals as a measure to reduce violence. Objective: Therefore, this research aims to understand the factors that influence people's support for a political-criminal arrangement, as well as those that contribute to considering criminal organizations legitimate and approving the impunity of their members. Methodology: To this purpose, we conducted an econometric analysis based on two nationally representative surveys. Conclusions: The results suggest that when clientelistic criminal governance is exercised and when there is less state capacity in the area of security, citizen approval of the pacts between the government and criminal groups increases, as well as their legitimacy. On the contrary, when criminal governance is violent, the population's repudiation of criminals increases and there is greater pressure on the government to fight them.
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spelling Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pactsGobernanza criminal y capacidad estatal en México: apoyo ciudadano a los pactos político-delictivosHernández Morales, Alan SalvadorAlva Rivera, Miguel EduardoSandoval Vargas, HectorCriminal governanceClientelismState capacityPolitical-criminal pactsViolenceGobernanza criminalClientelismoCapacidad estatalPactos político-delictivosViolenciaIntroduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the relevance of pacts between the government and criminals as a measure to reduce violence. Objective: Therefore, this research aims to understand the factors that influence people's support for a political-criminal arrangement, as well as those that contribute to considering criminal organizations legitimate and approving the impunity of their members. Methodology: To this purpose, we conducted an econometric analysis based on two nationally representative surveys. Conclusions: The results suggest that when clientelistic criminal governance is exercised and when there is less state capacity in the area of security, citizen approval of the pacts between the government and criminal groups increases, as well as their legitimacy. On the contrary, when criminal governance is violent, the population's repudiation of criminals increases and there is greater pressure on the government to fight them.Introducción: la complejidad que ha adquirido la gobernanza criminal mediante acciones predatorias y clientelares por parte de los grupos delictivos ha puesto en entredicho la capacidad estatal para proteger a la población. En México, como en otros países de la región, esto ha colocado en el debate público la pertinencia de los pactos entre el Gobierno y los delincuentes como medida para disminuir la violencia. Objetivo: por tanto, esta investigación busca conocer los factores que influyen en que las personas apoyen un arreglo político-delictivo, así como aquellos que contribuyen a considerar legítimas a las organizaciones criminales y la impunidad de sus miembros. Metodología: para ello, realizamos un análisis econométrico a partir de dos encuestas con representatividad nacional. Conclusiones: los resultados sugieren que cuando se ejerce una gobernanza criminal de tipo clientelar y cuando existe menor capacidad estatal en materia de seguridad, se incrementa la aprobación de la ciudadanía por los pactos entre el Gobierno y los grupos delictivos, así como la legitimación de estos. Por el contrario, cuando la gobernanza criminal es violenta, crece el repudio de la población hacia los delincuentes y se ejerce una mayor presión al gobierno para combatirlos.FLACSO - Sede Ecuador2025-01-22info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmltext/htmlhttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/626710.17141/urvio.41.2025.6267URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; No. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; Núm. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-651390-42991390-369110.17141/urvio.41.2025reponame:Revista URVIOinstname:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Socialesinstacron:FLACSOspahttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5026https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5016https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5017Derechos de autor 2025 Alan Salvador Hernández Morales, Miguel Eduardo Alva Rivera, Hector Sandoval Vargashttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2026-02-24T22:36:16Zoai:revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec:article/6267Portal de revistashttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvioInstitución privadahttps://www.flacso.edu.ec..Ecuador.1390-42991390-3691opendoar:02026-02-24T22:36:16Revista URVIO - Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Socialesfalse
spellingShingle Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
status_str publishedVersion
title Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_full Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_fullStr Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_full_unstemmed Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_short Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_sort Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
topic Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
url https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267