Diseño y creación del módulo de pronóstico de carga, para el desarrollo de un software para el estudio de redes de distribución eléctrica de la ciudad de Loja.
The present draft of the thesis is the development with the purpose to give the module a EERSSA forecast demand, as a contribution to the creation of a software for the technical study of the economic regime of operation of the electricity distribution networks in the city of Loja, The same that wil...
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| Médium: | bachelorThesis |
| Jazyk: | spa |
| Vydáno: |
2014
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| Témata: | |
| On-line přístup: | http://dspace.unl.edu.ec/jspui/handle/123456789/13962 |
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Přidat tag | Shrnutí: | The present draft of the thesis is the development with the purpose to give the module a EERSSA forecast demand, as a contribution to the creation of a software for the technical study of the economic regime of operation of the electricity distribution networks in the city of Loja, The same that will allow you to perform studies on the networks, in particular the forecast of the demand for electric power, because it is a basic need to know the state of electrical installations in the time and also serves as the basis for calculation in all the studies of the distribution networks. The module enables the processing of data for the forecast of the demand for electric power, that through regression methods (least squares), correlation forecasts and performs the calculation of the prognosis of demand in the range of year-month-day, and the calculation of the variance, the slope, Student's t test, the standard deviation, the level of certainty, the level of uncertainty and plotting the years correlated. The analysis is performed and preliminary design of the software: describe use cases, diagrams of robustness and class diagram, then proceeded to program the methods and models for the prediction of load and design the graphical user interface based on the methods and models of the system. It is recommended that you make use of the application as it has a friendly interface with the user and determines the calculations in a minimum time compared with the time it took to do manual calculations. |
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