La deuda pública y crecimiento económico del Ecuador, un análisis durante el periodo 1990 – 2020

Ecuador in 2020 experienced one of the worst recessions in history, for this year the growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was -7.75%, a percentage higher than that experienced by the Latin American and Caribbean region (6.80%). Given the government's need to obtain economic resources to face the economic, political and health crisis that the country was experiencing, public debt had a considerable increase, going from 45.2% of GDP in 2018 to 60.67% of GDP in 2020. Therefore, the present research work was developed with the objective of determining the impact of public debt on the economic growth of Ecuador, for the period 1990-2020, using data from the World Bank (2021) and the Central Bank of Ecuador (2021) confirmed through an Ordinary Least Squares Model (OLS) that there is a negative relationship of public debt on economic growth, as well as the existence of a longterm negative relationship between the variables through the application of a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, in addition, a unidirectional causality of growth towards debt determined by the Granger test. Given this, it is proposed to consolidate training programs aimed at institutions that make up the Ecuadorian State on issues of public indebtedness, as well as the increase in the country's income in such a way that the need for indebtedness is reduced.

• Hlavní autor: Bustamante Tuqueres, Marjorie Graciela (author)
• Médium: bachelorThesis
• Jazyk: spa
• Vydáno: 2023
• Témata: <ECONOMIA>; <DEUDA PUBLICA>; <CRECIMIENTO ECONOMICO>; <ECUADOR>
• On-line přístup: https://dspace.unl.edu.ec/jspui/handle/123456789/26020