Evaluación de la Flexibilidad del Mix de Generación propuesto en el Plan Maestro de Electricidad del Ecuador

Given the constant growth of electricity demand and the introduction of variable renewable energy sources (VRE), the evaluation of the flexibility of the generation mix becomes crucial to understanding how this set of sources can adapt to different scenarios. In this research work, the evaluation of the flexibility of the generation mix proposed in the Electricity Master Plan of Ecuador (PME) is carried out to measure the adaptability of the system to variations in demand and power generation. For this purpose, a systematic review of the literature was carried out, where the LEAP-NEMO platform was selected as a suitable tool for this type of study. For Ecuador, electricity demand was forecasted for the period 2023-2050, using a multivariate logarithmic linear model and considering three scenarios of GDP growth: minor, medium, and major. The demand is used as input to LEAP to simulate in detail Ecuador's electricity generation system taking 2022 as the base year. The generation expansion is a linear optimization problem that is solved using NEMO and considering three scenarios: BAU, ERV-Target, and ERV with storage. Finally, the flexibility indexes of the generation mix are calculated for each scenario. The results obtained show that, in the VRE plus storage scenario, the system is more flexible from the point of view of ENS and reserve. However, the production cost is 997.59 MMUSD more than the other two scenarios.

• Glavni avtor: Haro Cachaguay, John Jairo (author)
• Drugi avtorji: Perdomo Montachana, Erika Lizeth (author)
• Format: bachelorThesis
• Jezik: spa
• Izdano: 2024
• Teme: FLEXIBILIDAD; EXPANSIÓN DE LA GENERACIÓN; ENERGÍA RENOVABLE VARIABLE; SISTEMA ELÉCTRICO ECUATORIANO; ELECTRICIDAD
• Online dostop: http://repositorio.utc.edu.ec/handle/27000/11977