Moreira Sánchez,Moreira Sánchez(2023)ANÁLISIS DE CONFIABILIDAD EN EL ALIMENTADOR DE DISTRIBUCIÓN SAN JOSE SUR UBICADO EN S/E QUEVEDO SUR, UTILIZANDO EL MÉTODO DE SIMULACIÓN MONTECARLO.Quevedo.UTEQ.134p.
The electrical distribution system is constantly under analysis due to the increase in load due to the continuous increase in the population. To improve its operation, the energy distribution companies must monitor and maintain the different feeders that make up the electrical energy distribution ce...
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| Aineistotyyppi: | bachelorThesis |
| Kieli: | spa |
| Julkaistu: |
2023
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| Aiheet: | |
| Linkit: | https://repositorio.uteq.edu.ec/handle/43000/8112 |
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Lisää tagi | Yhteenveto: | The electrical distribution system is constantly under analysis due to the increase in load due to the continuous increase in the population. To improve its operation, the energy distribution companies must monitor and maintain the different feeders that make up the electrical energy distribution center. Currently, a reliability analysis is used to evaluate and make decisions about the technical and operational conditions of a feeder, taking as a point of reference the regulation No. ARCERNNR 002/20 in its section "quality of technical service", for which The present research project carried out a reliability analysis in the San José Sur feeder belonging to the distribution company CNEL EP in its Los Ríos - Quevedo business unit, for which the data history of the years 2020 and 2021 is used. Based on technical conditions and interruptions, for the treatment of this data, her computer tools (Matlab R2016a and Excel) to model an algorithm capable of analyzing and predicting the reliability indices present in the distribution feeder using the probabilistic method of MonteCarlo simulation. During the analysis, the technical characteristics and the historical interruption records were evaluated with the purpose of creating a history of failure events that is later used as a database within the MATLAB integrated development environment, in said software an algorithm is modeled that use a two-parameter exponential distribution to predict reliability indices up to two years into the future following the Montecarlo simulation methodology. The algorithm called "Montecarlo.m" results in the sum of the FMIK and TTIK indicators, which determine the frequency and average time to failure for each type of main element evaluated, thus estimating the reliability and availability of the San José feeder. South giving a service time where it operates under the technical service quality regulations, this type of analysis allows the distribution company to make decisions and strategies in order to improve the reliability of the feeder and the continuity of the electrical service. |
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