Analysis of energy future pathways for Ecuador facing the prospects of oil availability using a system dynamics model. Is degrowth inevitable?

The aim of this paper is to develop a system dynamics model to assess the energy future up to 2050 for Ecuador considering its condition of oil producing country. Three scenarios have been developed with different assumptions regarding national and global oil availability under a Business-As-Usual n...

• Hovedforfatter: Espinoza, Vicente Sebastián (author)
• Andre forfattere: Fontalvo, Javier (author), Martí Herrero, Jaime Emilio (author), Mediavilla, Margarita (author), Miguel, Luis Javier (author)
• Format: article
• Udgivet: 2022
• Fag: System dynamics; Oil availability; Energy scarcity; Energy demand; Oil export policies; Degrowth
• Online adgang: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124963; http://repositorio.ikiam.edu.ec/jspui/handle/RD_IKIAM/597