Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

On behalf of the decision-makers of Andean regulated river basins a drought index was developed to predict the occurrence and extent of drought events. Two stochastic models, the Markov Chain First Order (MCFO) and the Markov Chain Second Order (MCSO) model, predicting the frequency of monthly droug...

• Үндсэн зохиолч: Avilés Añazco, Alex Manuel (author)
• Бусад зохиолчид: Célleri Alvear, Rolando Enrique (author)
• Формат: article
• Хэвлэсэн: 2015
• Нөхцлүүд: Andean Basins; Drought Index; Forecast Evaluation; Markov Chains; Probabilistic Forecast
• Онлайн хандалт: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84925504832&doi=10.1007%2fs11269-015-0921-2&partnerID=40&md5=24d7091906c1963a984992460bd964e7; http://dspace.ucuenca.edu.ec/handle/123456789/28988