Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

On behalf of the decision-makers of Andean regulated river basins a drought index was developed to predict the occurrence and extent of drought events. Two stochastic models, the Markov Chain First Order (MCFO) and the Markov Chain Second Order (MCSO) model, predicting the frequency of monthly droug...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Avilés Añazco, Alex Manuel (author)
Outros Autores: Célleri Alvear, Rolando Enrique (author)
Formato: article
Publicado em: 2015
Assuntos:
Andean Basins
Drought Index
Forecast Evaluation
Markov Chains
Probabilistic Forecast
Acesso em linha:https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84925504832&doi=10.1007%2fs11269-015-0921-2&partnerID=40&md5=24d7091906c1963a984992460bd964e7
http://dspace.ucuenca.edu.ec/handle/123456789/28988
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https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84925504832&doi=10.1007%2fs11269-015-0921-2&partnerID=40&md5=24d7091906c1963a984992460bd964e7
http://dspace.ucuenca.edu.ec/handle/123456789/28988

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